New Method Predicts Pandemic Viruses Safely

Scientists developed a safer approach to identify animal viruses with pandemic potential, reducing lab risks.

New Method Predicts Pandemic Viruses Safely

Image: allafrica.com

A new study published in the journal Nature on April 28, 2026, describes a safer method for identifying animal viruses that could cause the next pandemic. Researchers from the University of California, Davis, and the University of Edinburgh developed a technique that uses computational modeling and cell-based assays to assess viral spillover risk without handling live, dangerous pathogens.

The approach, called 'Pandemic Risk Assessment by Computational Analysis' (PRACA), analyzes viral genome sequences and protein structures to predict which viruses can bind to human cell receptors. This reduces the need for high-containment biosafety labs and minimizes accidental exposure risks. The team tested PRACA on over 500 bat coronaviruses, correctly identifying 90% of those known to infect human cells.

Dr. Sarah Johnson, lead author from UC Davis, stated: 'Our method allows us to screen thousands of viruses quickly and safely, prioritizing those that warrant closer study.' The World Health Organization has expressed interest in using PRACA for global surveillance. The study was funded by the U.S. National Institutes of Health and the UK Research and Innovation.

❓ Frequently Asked Questions

What is PRACA?

PRACA stands for Pandemic Risk Assessment by Computational Analysis, a method that uses computer models to predict which animal viruses could infect humans, reducing the need for dangerous lab work.

How accurate is the new method?

In tests on over 500 bat coronaviruses, PRACA correctly identified 90% of those known to infect human cells.

Who funded the study?

The study was funded by the U.S. National Institutes of Health and UK Research and Innovation.

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