Morocco's cereal production is expected to double in the 2025-2026 season compared to the previous year, driven by significantly improved rainfall, according to government forecasts. The Ministry of Agriculture estimates the harvest could reach between 60 and 70 million quintals, up from around 30 million quintals in the drought-affected 2024-2025 season.
The positive outlook is attributed to abundant and well-distributed rains since autumn 2025, which have replenished soil moisture and boosted crop conditions across key agricultural regions. Wheat and barley, the main cereals, are expected to see the largest gains.
However, challenges remain, including potential price volatility and the need for continued investment in irrigation and climate-resilient seeds. The government has announced support measures for farmers, including subsidies for inputs and expanded crop insurance.
If realized, the doubling of production would significantly reduce Morocco's cereal import bill and improve food security, though the country still relies on imports for durum wheat and other varieties.
