Lloyds Faces £151m Iran War Cost, UK Unemployment Forecast

Lloyds Banking Group warns of £151m hit from Middle East conflict, forecasts rising UK unemployment.

Lloyds Faces £151m Iran War Cost, UK Unemployment Forecast

Image: theguardian.com

Lloyds Banking Group has announced that the economic impact of the Middle East conflict, specifically the war involving Iran, could cost the bank £151 million. The FTSE 100 lender, which owns Lloyds Bank, Halifax, and Bank of Scotland, also forecast a rise in UK unemployment and a slowdown in the housing market.

The bank's first-quarter results, released on April 29, 2026, showed a pre-tax profit of £1.8 billion, down from £2.1 billion a year earlier. The £151 million charge is related to potential loan losses from exposure to the conflict, according to the bank's statement.

Lloyds now expects UK unemployment to peak at 5.2% by the end of 2026, up from its previous forecast of 4.8%. The bank also predicted a 3% decline in house prices this year, citing higher borrowing costs and economic uncertainty.

Chief Executive Charlie Nunn said the bank is 'closely monitoring the situation' and has increased provisions for bad debts. The news comes amid broader concerns about the global economy, with oil prices rising due to tensions in the Middle East.

❓ Frequently Asked Questions

How much is Lloyds expecting to lose from the Iran war?

Lloyds has taken a £151 million charge related to potential loan losses from the Middle East conflict.

What is Lloyds' new forecast for UK unemployment?

Lloyds now expects UK unemployment to peak at 5.2% by the end of 2026, up from 4.8%.

How does the bank expect house prices to change?

Lloyds predicts a 3% decline in UK house prices in 2026 due to higher borrowing costs and economic uncertainty.

📰 Source:
theguardian.com →
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