A security deal between Israel and Lebanon risks entrenching a stalemate rather than resolving the underlying conflict with Hezbollah, according to regional analysts. The agreement ties Israel's withdrawal from southern Lebanon to the disarmament of Hezbollah, a condition that may prove difficult to enforce.
As of June 2026, negotiations have been ongoing, but no final deal has been signed. The United States and France have mediated talks, but key issues remain unresolved, including the status of disputed border areas and the role of UNIFIL peacekeepers.
Hezbollah, a powerful Iranian-backed militant group, has not agreed to disarm, and Israeli officials have demanded security guarantees before any withdrawal. Analysts warn that without a comprehensive political solution, the deal could freeze the current conflict rather than end it.