Scientists are forecasting more than 450,000 deaths due to intense heat generated by El Niño in the coming months, according to a new study from the Climate Impact Lab. The projection adds to the toll from other climate-related impacts.
The study, released by the Climate Impact Lab, a research consortium, estimates that the upcoming El Niño event will produce extreme heat that could lead to hundreds of thousands of additional deaths worldwide. The findings underscore the severe public health risks associated with climate variability.
El Niño is a periodic warming of the central and eastern tropical Pacific Ocean that influences weather patterns globally, often bringing hotter temperatures to many regions. The Climate Impact Lab's analysis suggests that the heatwave conditions exacerbated by El Niño will have deadly consequences, particularly in vulnerable populations.
While the exact number of deaths may vary, the study's forecast highlights the urgent need for adaptation measures and early warning systems to protect communities from extreme heat. The research adds to growing evidence that climate change and natural climate oscillations like El Niño pose significant threats to human health.