Prediction market Polymarket shows a sharp increase in the probability that the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act will become law in 2026. As of May 11, 2026, traders have priced the odds at 75%, a 10-point jump from the previous day. This marks a significant recovery from a low of 45% earlier in the year.
The act aims to provide a regulatory framework for digital assets in the United States. The surge in Polymarket odds follows recent statements from key lawmakers and increased lobbying efforts by crypto industry groups. However, no official vote has been scheduled yet in Congress.
Polymarket is a decentralized prediction market platform where users bet on the outcomes of real-world events. The odds reflect the collective assessment of traders, not official forecasts. The 75% probability is the highest since the bill was introduced.
