After watching his Arsenal side return to the top of the Premier League on Saturday, April 25, 2026, manager Mikel Arteta warned of more challenges ahead. The Gunners' 2-1 win over Crystal Palace lifted them above Manchester City on goal difference, with both teams level on 82 points after 34 games.
A supercomputer simulation by data analytics firm Opta, using current season statistics and historical data, now predicts Arsenal will finish first with 89 points, one ahead of Manchester City. The model, updated after the weekend's matches, gives Arsenal a 52% chance of winning the title, compared to City's 48%.
Arteta said after the match: 'I don't expect after 22 years of not winning that it will be easy. We have to fight until the last game.' Arsenal have not won the league since 2003-04, and this season's race remains tight with four games remaining.
The supercomputer's prediction is based on factors including recent form, goal difference, and remaining fixtures. Arsenal face Tottenham, Bournemouth, Newcastle, and Everton, while City play Wolves, Brighton, Chelsea, and Aston Villa. The model simulates each match 10,000 times to produce the final table.
Neither club has commented on the simulation, which is not an official prediction. The actual title will be decided on the pitch over the next month.
