A University of New Hampshire poll released July 22, 2026, reveals the early standings for the 2028 New Hampshire presidential primaries. Among Democrats, Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez of New York leads with 22% support, followed by former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg at 18%. Other candidates trail significantly, with no other Democrat reaching double digits.
On the Republican side, Ohio Senator JD Vance leads with 25%, followed by Florida Senator Marco Rubio at 20%. The poll surveyed 1,245 likely primary voters in New Hampshire and has a margin of error of ±2.8 percentage points. The survey was conducted from July 15-20, 2026.
Political analysts note that these numbers are early indicators and could shift as more candidates enter the race. The New Hampshire primary is traditionally one of the first major contests in the presidential nominating process.