As of May 14, 2026, with 13 matches remaining in the IPL 2026 league stage, playoff qualification scenarios have shifted dramatically. According to verified data from ESPNcricinfo's playoff predictor, Royal Challengers Bengaluru (RCB) now have a 99% chance of qualifying for the playoffs, while Kolkata Knight Riders (KKR) have dropped to just 2.6%.
Gujarat Titans (GT) and Sunrisers Hyderabad (SRH) are also in strong positions, with GT having a 95% chance and SRH at 85%. Lucknow Super Giants (LSG) and Mumbai Indians (MI) have been mathematically eliminated from playoff contention.
The scenarios are based on remaining fixtures and net run rates. RCB's surge follows a string of wins, while KKR's poor form has left them on the brink of elimination. Punjab Kings (PBKS) and Delhi Capitals (DC) remain in the hunt with moderate odds.
For KKR to qualify, they would need to win all remaining matches and rely on other results going their way. The final playoff spots are expected to be decided in the last week of the league stage.
