Andalusia is set to hold regional elections on May 17, 2026, with the center-right Partido Popular (PP) expected to secure a decisive victory. According to recent polls, incumbent president Juan Manuel Moreno is close to achieving an absolute majority, which would allow him to govern without the support of his current coalition partner, the far-right Vox party.
The Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE), which has historically dominated Andalusian politics, is projected to suffer its worst electoral performance in the region. Analysts attribute this decline to internal divisions and a shift in voter sentiment toward the PP's moderate policies.
Moreno's campaign has focused on economic recovery and job creation, capitalizing on the region's tourism and agricultural sectors. Meanwhile, Vox is expected to retain a significant share of the vote, though its influence may wane if the PP secures a majority.
The election is seen as a key test for Spain's national political landscape, with the PP aiming to consolidate power ahead of potential general elections. Turnout is expected to be high, reflecting the importance of this vote for Andalusia's future direction.
